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		<title>Dividend Stocks 2013: Why 81% of S&amp;P 500 Companies Want to Pay You</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 18:15:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Diane Alter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://moneymorning.com/?p=98171</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>More  and more S&#38;P 500 companies are turning into <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/dividend-stocks/">dividend stocks</a>, as  yield-producing investments are becoming the hottest attraction in 2013. </p>
<p>Collective  dividends per share for Standard &#38; Poor's 500 companies increased roughly  16% year-over-year in 2012. Meanwhile, the number of companies paying a  dividend over that period reached a new 13-year high of 405, or roughly 81% of  the S&#38;P 500, data from Factset shows.</p>
<p>Some  60% of these dividend stocks yield more than the 10-year Treasury, according to  BlackRock.</p>
<p>Yield-starved  investors have flocked to these equities in this ZIRP (zero interest rate  policy) environment. More companies are embracing the shift and have  implemented, increased or paid special dividends as a way to appease  shareholders and attract new capital.</p>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>More  and more S&amp;P 500 companies are turning into <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/dividend-stocks/">dividend stocks</a>, as  yield-producing investments are becoming the hottest attraction in 2013. </p>
<p>Collective  dividends per share for Standard &amp; Poor's 500 companies increased roughly  16% year-over-year in 2012. Meanwhile, the number of companies paying a  dividend over that period reached a new 13-year high of 405, or roughly 81% of  the S&amp;P 500, data from Factset shows.</p>
<p>Some  60% of these dividend stocks yield more than the 10-year Treasury, according to  BlackRock.</p>
<p>Yield-starved  investors have flocked to these equities in this ZIRP (zero interest rate  policy) environment. More companies are embracing the shift and have  implemented, increased or paid special dividends as a way to appease  shareholders and attract new capital.</p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>History  shows that dividends have been a powerful source of total return in an  investment portfolio. Since 1926, they have represented over 50% of the total  market return. </p>
<p>Presently,  even as benchmarks hit fresh milestones again and again, investors favor  dividend stocks.</p>
<p>That's  part of the reason Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=GS&amp;ei=EvOcUbCEI_Dq0QHTJw">GS</a>)  raised its year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 to 1,750, up from 1,575.</p>
<p>Goldman's  chief equity strategist David Kosten explained he expects higher-than-expected  dividends from S&amp;P 500 companies to attract income-seeking investors to  stocks. He cited the current low-interest rate environment "which helps  dividends and stocks more generally" for the upped target. </p>
<p>Notably,  companies paying rich dividends have fared best.</p>
<p>Since  2009, the highest yielding stocks (with an average yield of 6.0%) turned in a  monthly average return 0.23% above the S&amp;P 500 Index, while the lowest  yielding stocks averaged a monthly return of 0.56% below the S&amp;P.</p>
<p>The  lowest yielding group (with an average of 0.8%) even performed poorer than  those that paid no dividends at all.</p>
<p>But  like we've warned before, this doesn't mean just any dividend stock will do...</p>
<h3>Dividend Stocks: It Pays to Be Choosy</h3>
<p>Given  the plethora of choices, investors must be selective. Simply chasing yield is  never prudent.</p>
<p>Here are ten things to look for when  investing in dividend stocks: </p><!--more-->
<ul>
  <li>A  long dividend history</li>
  <li>Has  a worldwide market presence (providing somewhat of an inflationary hedge)</li>
  <li>A  stable product or service</li>
  <li>Sticks  to its core business</li>
  <li>A  "current ratio" (the ratio of current assets to current liabilities which  measures its ability to meet short term obligation) greater than 1 </li>
  <li>Stock  price stability</li>
  <li>A  history of share buybacks</li>
  <li>A  history of hiking its dividend</li>
  <li>A  payout ratio no more than 80% of its earnings per share</li>
</ul>
<h3>S&amp;P Dividend Aristocrats</h3>
<p>For  dividend stock choices, the S&amp;P 500 Dividend Aristocrats is an elite list  of companies that meet the above stringent criteria and have a history of  increased dividend payouts for 25 consecutive years. </p>
<p>Since  the start of 2013, the S&amp;P 500 Dividend Aristocrat Index has returned 19%,  besting the 16% year-to date return for the overall S&amp;P 500 Index.</p>
<p>Just  comparing the 52-week low - 1,586.40 reached in June 2012 - to the 2,126.76 high  hit this month - shows how investor interest is pushing dividend stocks higher. </p>
<p>As  more money pours into dividend stocks in 2013, these stocks' share prices - and  the value of the whole index - will rise. </p>
<p>The  top ten constituents by market cap as of May 21 are:</p>
<ul type="disc">
  <li><strong>W.W.       Granger Inc</strong>.       (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGWW&amp;ei=5_qcUfikOoW40gGBogE">GWW</a>)       yielding 1.91% </li>
  <li><strong>PPG       Industries Inc.</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3APPG&amp;ei=tPycUcDbILGr0AHq1AE">PPG</a>)       yielding 1.52%</li>
  <li><strong>Illinois       Tool Works Inc</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=itw&amp;ei=F_2cUZDZJoSm0AHz7wE">ITW)</a> yielding 2.13%</li>
  <li><strong>AFLAC Inc</strong> (NYSE: <strong><a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=afl&amp;ei=f_2cUbiIBeK50QHeTA">AFL</a></strong>)       yielding 2.48%</li>
  <li><strong>Sherwin       Williams Co</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=shw&amp;ei=vP2cUbiNLYu_0QHJLQ">SHW</a>)       yielding 1.05%</li>
  <li><strong>Medtronic       Inc</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=mdt&amp;ei=BP6cUZGaO9OM0QHdmwE">MDT)</a> yielding 2%</li>
  <li><strong>Cardinal       Health Inc</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=cah&amp;ei=Rf6cUdDqNYSm0AHz7wE">CAH)</a> yielding 2.53%</li>
  <li><strong>Sigma-Aldrich       Corp</strong> (Nasdaq: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=sial&amp;ei=df6cUfjaKMW80AHeeA">SIAL</a>)       yielding 1.01%</li>
  <li><strong>Air       Products &amp; Chemicals Inc</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=apd&amp;ei=s_6cUdiGENOM0QHdmwE">APD)</a> yielding 2.96%</li>
  <li><strong>Lowe's Cos       Inc</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=low&amp;ei=__6cUYiJCou_0QHJLQ">LOW</a>)       yielding 1.49%</li>
</ul>

<p><strong><u>Related Articles</u></strong>:</p>
<ul>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong><br /> <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/08/my-new-favorite-way-to-make-killer-income/">My  New Favorite Way to Make Killer Income</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/21/3-overseas-choices-for-yield-starved-investors/">3  Overseas Choices for Yield Starved Investors</a></li>
  <li><strong>S&amp;P Dow  Jones Indices: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.standardandpoors.com/indices/sp-500-dividend-aristocrats/en/us/?indexId=spusa-500dusdff--p-us----" rel="external nofollow">S&amp;P  500 Dividend Aristocrats </a></li>
  <li><strong>MSN Money: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://money.msn.com/top-stocks/post.aspx?post=663a5375-a982-426a-9eee-93b798945139" rel="external nofollow">The  absolute best dividend stocks in America</a></li>
  <li><strong>CNBC: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/100610410" rel="external nofollow">2013 Dividend Plays</a></li>
  <li><strong>FactSet: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.factset.com/insight/2013/3/dividend_3.28.13#.UZzgsEpIGbw" rel="external nofollow">Accelerated  payments push DPS for S&amp;P 500 companies to new highs</a></li>
</ul></div>
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		<title>Some  of the Best Investments for Doubling Your Money Are in Biotech</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 17:23:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Diane Alter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://moneymorning.com/?p=98159</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Innovation  is the mother of lucrative investing, and nowhere is that truer than in biotech  - which delivers some of the <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/best-investments/">best investments</a> you'll ever find.</p>
<p>Biotechnology  provides breakthrough products and technologies to combat debilitating and rare  ailments, it reduces rates of infectious disease, tailors treatments to individuals  to minimize health risks and side effects, creates more precise tools for  disease detection, and it reduces the odds of global life threatening  conditions.</p>
<p>In  short, biotech helps to heal the world.</p>
<p>"If  you're looking to double your money, the biotech sector is one of the best  hunting grounds that you'll find," writes <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> Tech Specialist Michael  A. Robinson, who regularly follows the industry's best investments for his <strong><em><a target="_blank" href="http://strategictechinvestor.com/">Strategic Tech Investor</a></em></strong> members. </p>

p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/23/some-of-the-best-investments-for-doubling-your-money-are-in-biotech/">To continue reading, please click here…</a></em></strong></p>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>Innovation  is the mother of lucrative investing, and nowhere is that truer than in biotech  - which delivers some of the <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/best-investments/">best investments</a> you'll ever find.</p>
<p>Biotechnology  provides breakthrough products and technologies to combat debilitating and rare  ailments, it reduces rates of infectious disease, tailors treatments to individuals  to minimize health risks and side effects, creates more precise tools for  disease detection, and it reduces the odds of global life threatening  conditions.</p>
<p>In  short, biotech helps to heal the world.</p>
<p>"If  you're looking to double your money, the biotech sector is one of the best  hunting grounds that you'll find," writes <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> Tech Specialist Michael  A. Robinson, who regularly follows the industry's best investments for his <strong><em><a target="_blank" href="http://strategictechinvestor.com/" rel="external nofollow">Strategic Tech Investor</a></em></strong> members. </p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><h3>Best Investments in  Biotech in 2013</h3>
<p>Of late,  the industry has indeed enjoyed a healthy showing. </p>
<p>In Q1,  the Nasdaq Biotech Index carried over its robust performance from late 2012,  gaining 16.7%. Credit significant product approvals, positive clinical trials  and sold business outlooks for the sustained momentum and outperformance versus  the broader market.</p>
<p>The  Index recently hit a record high, leaving many to wonder if the sector is  poised for a pullback.</p>
<p>The  consensus views are fundamentals remain favorable, the sector still exudes  strength and the biotech rally has legs.</p>
<p>Sharing  that sentiment is Evan McCulloch, co-manager of the Franklin Biotechnology  Discovery Fund, one of the best performing health care funds tracked by <strong><em>Morningstar</em></strong>. </p>
<p>"Biotech,  especially the big companies, are coming off some very low valuations. From  2009 through 2011, the sector underperformed the broader stock market. Wall  Street, having once believed drug makers were unable to make research and  development spending pay, now has come to realize that it pays for companies to  invest in drug discovery and development," McCulloch told <strong><em>Barron's</em></strong>.</p>
<p>Thanks  to a more receptive Food and Drug Administration (FDA), fresh drug pipelines  and resurgence in M&amp;A activity, the sector is in a sweet spot. Big players  are flush with cash, and smaller troupes are ripe with promise--the perfect  combination for fruitful research and development.</p>
<h3>Best Investments 2013:  How R&amp;D is Paying Off for Biotech</h3>
<p>Since  the discovery of DNA in 1953, and the identification of DNA as the genetic  material in all life, advances in the vast area of biotechnology have been astounding. </p>
<p>But  because of the extremely high costs of R&amp;D, coupled with scant revenue in  the early years of development, funding is tight. Moreover, companies  experimenting in R&amp;D often see their valuation diminish since they provide  little return for shareholders.</p>
<p>Lately, however, there's been a  profitable development in the sector... </p>
<!--more-->
<p>Now  R&amp;D spending is a sign of huge profit potential, not a drag on shareholder  returns. </p>
<p>According  to <strong><em>Barron's</em></strong>,  Morgan Stanley (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=ms&amp;ei=3tmTUcHeH_C10AGYHA">MS</a>) Chief U.S.  Strategist Adam Parker found fewer than 20 globally companies with market caps  of $30 billion or more that engage in healthcare research. That shines a  spotlight on not only the big players, but also on the little guys with ample  potential. </p>
<p>"Ten  years ago, the human genome could barely be decoded. Ten years from now, one  can guess that it will be done for pennies, nearly instantaneously," writes  Parker for <strong><em>Barron's</em></strong>. "We could be witnessing a substantial re-rating where  instead of a discount on R&amp;D being embedded in health care stocks, a  premium could ultimately be awarded for potential option value of curing a  disease."</p>
<p>That's  some exciting stuff, and particularly exciting for savvy investors.</p>
<p>That's  why we asked our tech specialist Robinson to share some of the best biotech  investments he sees now. </p>
<p>He said  this is definitely one of the most promising sectors for profits. </p>
<p>But, in  noting that "a lot of individual biotech stocks have actually doubled, tripled  or more-the Holy Grail type of gains that high-tech investors crave," Robinson  cautions "not all biotech stocks are created equal."</p>
<p>But he  found one play that he thinks could double your money. Just go <a target="_blank" href="http://strategictechinvestor.com/2013/05/this-tiny-biotech-will-double-your-money-in-no-time-flat/http:/strategictechinvestor.com/2013/05/this-tiny-biotech-will-double-your-money-in-no-time-flat/" rel="external nofollow">here</a> to check out this "pick-and-shovel play" in biotech - and get all of Robinson's  favorite tech profit plays - for free! </p>
<p>Robinson  regularly details how to avoid pitfalls when investing in this volatile sector  and highlights the stocks with the biggest potential in his <strong><em>Strategic  Tech Investor</em></strong> reports - go <a target="_blank" href="http://strategictechinvestor.com/" rel="external nofollow">here</a> for all his latest info on the best investments in tech. </p>
<p><strong><u>Related Articles and News:</u></strong></p>
<ul>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong><br /> <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/11/double-your-money-in-no-time-flat/">Double Your Money in No Time  Flat</a></li>

  <li><strong>Barron's: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748703889404578438831955549290.html#articleTabs_article%3D1" rel="external nofollow">Welcome to Drug R&amp;D's  Golden Age</a></li>

  <li><strong>Forbes: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/matthewherper/2013/04/14/the-weeks-best-and-worst-performing-biotech-stocks-april-5-to-april-12/" rel="external nofollow">The Best And Worst Performing  Biotech Stocks, April 5 to April 12</a></li>

  <li><strong>Barron's: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://online.barrons.com/article/SB50001424052748704253204578472934248878590.html?mod=BOL_da_qa" rel="external nofollow">Biotech Fund: Many Healthy  Returns</a></li>
</ul>
</div>
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		<title>How to Invest in Oil's Final Frontier: The Arctic</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 14:59:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Tony Daltorio</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Investors searching for <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/how-to-invest/">how to invest</a> in oil in  2013 should be focused on these latest developments from the Arctic. </p>
<p>In fact, countries are racing to get a piece of what could  be the final frontier for oil...</p>
<p>As ice melts in the Arctic region, oil and gas trapped  beneath the water becomes more accessible. </p>
<p><strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors recently  explained to <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> members about the search for Arctic oil and gas. </p>
<p>He spoke about the years-in-the-making U.S. Geological  Survey's Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal. The study found that 84% of the  total undiscovered oil and gas left on the planet is located above the Arctic  Circle, mainly offshore and in three huge basins that lie under shallow seas. </p>
<p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/23/how-to-invest-in-oils-final-frontier-the-arctic/">To continue reading, please click here...</a></em></strong></p>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>Investors searching for <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/how-to-invest/">how to invest</a> in oil in  2013 should be focused on these latest developments from the Arctic. </p>
<p>In fact, countries are racing to get a piece of what could  be the final frontier for oil...</p>
<p>As ice melts in the Arctic region, oil and gas trapped  beneath the water becomes more accessible. </p>
<p><strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors recently  explained to <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> members about the search for Arctic oil and gas. </p>
<p>He spoke about the years-in-the-making U.S. Geological  Survey's Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal. The study found that 84% of the  total undiscovered oil and gas left on the planet is located above the Arctic  Circle, mainly offshore and in three huge basins that lie under shallow seas. </p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>This set off a mad scramble between the nations with  territories in that region of the globe. The countries involved include: the  United States, Canada, Russia, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Iceland and Denmark  (Greenland).</p>
<p>The once sleepy Arctic Council, comprised of the nations  named above, was originally designed to promote cooperation among countries  with interests in the Arctic. But because of the tremendous interest in the  energy riches that lie in the Arctic region, the Council was recently forced to  give six countries 'observer' status including energy-hungry China and India.</p>
<p>Clearly, Arctic oil has the attention of both energy  companies and political leadership around the world - and should also be on the radar of investors looking  for how to invest in oil in 2013. </p>
<h3>How  to Invest in the New Oil "Gold Rush"</h3>
<p>The initial push into the Arctic was like gold rushes in the  past. </p>
<p>In 2008, BP PLC paid an exorbitant $1.2 billion for licenses  to explore only about 6,000 square kilometers in Canada's Beaufort Sea. This  area is believed to contain roughly 5 billion barrels of oil equivalent.</p>
<p>The mad bidding period is over, but nevertheless exploration  continues apace.  </p>
<p>Research firm Chatham House last year, in a report,  estimated that investments by energy firms into the Arctic could total over  $100 billion over the next decade. </p>
<p>That's a lot of money, even for oil companies.</p>
<p>Companies are doing this because studies from the  International Energy Agency and Statistics Norway show that a barrel of oil  drilled from the Arctic will cost between $35 and $40, which is competitive  with oil drilled in deep water.  </p>
<p>And for those wanting to know how to invest in Arctic oil,  there are a firms that are already pushing into the region, including Russia's  Rosneft, Norway's <strong>Statoil ASA</strong> ADR (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:STO&amp;ei=gcacUaDaFuK50QHeTA">STO</a>)  and <strong>Royal Dutch Shell PLC </strong>ADR (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:RDS.A&amp;ei=jsacUajvHOWx0AG5fA">RDS.A</a>). </p>
<p>But  just a few companies have snagged these most promising regions...</p><!--more-->
<h3>How  to Invest in the Most Promising Arctic Region</h3>
<p>Perhaps the most promising area of the Arctic is in  Statoil's home turf. There is an expanse of the Arctic Ocean called the Barents  Sea that is mostly ice-free.</p>
<p>The Norwegian area of the Barents (shared with Russia) is  estimated to hold at least 6 billion barrels of oil equivalent. </p>
<p>Jarand Rystad of energy consultantcy Rystad Energy told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> that the Barents Sea prospects are "enormously exciting."</p>
<p>There will be at least 12 wells drilled there this year,  which is equal to the combined total of wells drilled there in the past two  years. Total cost should be around $1.8 billion, according to energy consulting  firm Wood Mackenzie.</p>
<p>As expected, Statoil is heavily involved there. But so is  Italy's <strong>Eni SpA</strong> ADR (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:E&amp;ei=PcqcUejdDYSm0AHz7wE">E</a>),  France's <strong>Total SA </strong>ADR (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:TOT&amp;ei=xsycUdDeOcTs0gHHWQ">TOT</a>)  and Rosneft. </p>
<p>Statoil discovered the Skrugard and Havis fields in the  Barents, which are thought to contain between 400 and 600 million barrels of  oil. Oil is expected to start flowing from those fields in 2018. The company is  also hoping to strike it rich with its Apollo well in the frontier Hoop region  of the Barents.  </p>
<p>The Russian region of the Barents is largely unexplored.  Rosneft is teaming with Statoil, Eni and Total there to search for oil. </p>
<p>Anyone who wants the  full story on how to invest in Arctic Oil has to invest the environmental concerns.  Drilling in the Norway's Barents is now a cinch - but years ago, it was  hard to access due to volatile environmental conditions.</p>
<p>That's why many other regions aren't yet delivering profits.  Companies trying to drill in the deeper waters of Canada's Beaufort Sea face a  short window each year in which to drill thanks to the constantly moving floes  of thick ice. Logistics in these remote regions of the globe are also a  nightmare. </p>
<p>Oil companies like Shell and <strong>ConocoPhillips </strong>(NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:COP&amp;ei=Kd-cUcjHCuWx0AG5fA">COP</a>)  have had to reevaluate their Arctic oil plans due to concerns over regulations. </p>
<p>Final environmental regulations are not in place as yet. But  it makes sense environmentally to move cautiously in the Arctic. The cold  waters there do not contain the billions of oil-eating microbes that proved so  useful in the BP Gulf of Mexico oil spill.</p>
<p>But, eventually they'll catch up to the Barents. <strong><em>Reuters</em></strong> reported that Statoil senior vice-president for exploration in Norway, Gro  Haatvedt, said in an interview about drilling in the Havis and Skrugard fields,  "We're absolutely certain we'll strike [oil]." </p>
<p>Twenty years ago, that thought would have been considered  laughable.</p>
<p><strong>For more on how to  invest in oil in 2013, read Dr. Kent Moors' analysis: <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/12/05/are-the-russians-on-the-verge-of-a-major-arctic-oil-coup/">Are  the Russians on the Verge of a Major Arctic Oil Coup?</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><u>Related Articles:</u></strong></p>
<ul type="disc">
  <li><strong>The New York Times: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/16/world/europe/arctic-council-adds-six-members-including-china.html?_r=1&amp;" rel="external nofollow">Arctic       Council Adds Six Members as Observer States Including China</a>        </li>
  <li><strong>Reuters: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/02/12/us-arctic-oil-idUSBRE91B0UO20130212#undefined" rel="external nofollow">Arctic       Draws Oil Money With Stability, Shallow Seas</a></li>
  <li><strong>Financial Times: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/c386b082-5be8-11e2-bf31-00144feab49a.html#axzz2TpxvgAY9" rel="external nofollow">Arctic       Exploration Moves at Glacial Pace</a></li>
  <li><strong>Bloomberg News: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-03/norway-s-oil-future-seen-with-ice-free-arctic-s-barrels.html" rel="external nofollow">Norway's       Oil Future Seen With Ice-Free Arctic's Barrels</a></li>
</ul></div>
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		<title>Switzerland ETFs in Focus on China FTA Deal – ETF News And Commentary</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 11:15:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guest Editorial</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Switzerland, unlike many other European economies, has maintained a budget surplus and a credit rating of &#039;AAA&#039;. The unemployment rate of the nation is also much lower than the neighboring economies, suggesting that Switzerland has been able to do better than most (5 ETFs for Countries with Highest Employment Rates). Yet, that doesn&#8217;t mean that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>
	Switzerland, unlike many other European economies, has maintained a budget surplus and a credit rating of &#039;AAA&#039;. The unemployment rate of the nation is also much lower than the neighboring economies, suggesting that Switzerland has been able to do better than most (<a href="http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/89361/5-etfs-for-countries-with-highest-employment-rates">5 ETFs for Countries with Highest Employment Rates</a>).</p>
<p>
	Yet, that doesn&rsquo;t mean that Switzerland is resting on its laurels, as the nation is looking to improve its export level and market diversification, with negotiations with China for a free trade agreement. The deal which is still subject to approval of the parliament, but it is expected to benefit various companies of the country.</p>
<p>
	The removal of Chinese duties will especially benefit the chemical industry, the engineering sector, food producers and watchmaking.</p>
<p>
	The deal under negotiation for three years now is finally set to reach fruition. China is already the sixth largest export market for Switzerland and the deal will benefit the European country further.</p>
<p>
	Swiss companies like Swatch, Richemont and Shindler will stand to gain from the deal as Chinese tariffs would be lowered. China is the third biggest export market for Swiss watches and the deal will fortify the position of Swiss watch companies in China.</p>
<p>
	Currently, imported goods from Switzerland are charged an 11% import duty and luxury watches, worth more than 10,000 yuan (1,500 Swiss francs), are subject to a 20% levy (<a href="http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/86772/switzerland-etf-investing-101">Switzerland ETF Investing 101</a>).</p>
<p>
	Luxury watchmaker Swatch has 20% exposure to China while Richemont is 10% exposed to the country. Although the exact reduction in duty is still left to be disclosed, this will surely benefit these companies with heavy exposure in China.</p>
<p>
	This will also help to offset the impact of reduction in Swiss watch sales in Asia in the first three months of 2013. The country witnessed a reduction in sales as a crackdown on corruption intensified.</p>
<p>
	According to the Swiss Watch Industry Federation, overall Swiss watch exports will likely increase between 4% and 6% in 2013, down from 11% in 2012 and near 20% gains in 2010 and 2011.</p>
<p>
	With only a few weeks left for the deal to finally reach fruition, investors may opt to invest in Swiss stocks. Instead of investing in single companies, going via a basket approach may prove to be beneficial for an investor.</p>
<p>
	Investors who look to capitalize on the benefits that Swiss companies will reap from the deal can look to invest in the following ETFs (<a href="http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/82373/etfs-for-the-most-competitive-countries-on-earth">ETFs for the Most Competitive Countries on Earth</a>).</p>
<p>
	<strong>iShares MSCI Switzerland Index Fund (</strong><a href="http://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/EWL/profile?q=EWL"><strong>EWL</strong></a><strong>)</strong></p>
<p>
	Launched in March 1996, EWL is linked to the MSCI Switzerland Index. The Index has been designed to measure the performance of the Swiss equity markets. The index is a float adjusted, market capitalization weighted index which mostly consists of publicly traded large cap stocks.</p>
<p>
	The fund manages an asset base of $650 million and trades with volume levels of more than 400,000 shares a day. The average bid ask ratio stands at 0.06% so total trading costs will be quite low overall.</p>
<p>
	EWL provides exposure to 40 Swiss securities which mostly cover the large cap section of the market spectrum. The fund appears to be highly concentrated in its top 10 holdings as nearly 73% of the asset base goes towards those stocks.</p>
<p>
	Drilling down further into the top ten, the top three holdings in the fund play a dominant role in its performance, as more than 45% of the asset base is invested in these firms. The first three holdings are occupied by Nestle, Roche Holdings and Novartis. Among others, the fund does not invest more than 5%.</p>
<p>
	For sectors, the fund appears to be heavily invested in health care (<a href="http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/99724/Biotechnology-ETF-Investing-101">Biotechnology ETF Investing 101</a>). EWL allocates 29.2% of the asset base to the sector.</p>
<p>
	Other than this, the fund assigns double-digit allocation to consumer staples, financials and industrials. Among others, the fund does not invest more than 8.25%.</p>
<p>
	In the last one year, the fund has done a good job delivering a return of 20.7% while year-to-date gains stand at 15.04%. The fund charges a fee of 52 basis points annually from investors and has generated a yield of 2.58% in the process.</p>
<p>
	<strong>First Trust Switzerland AlphaDEX Fund (</strong><a href="http://www.zacks.com/funds/etf/fsz/profile?q=fsz"><strong>FSZ</strong></a><strong>)</strong></p>
<p>
	Launched in February 2012, First Trust Switzerland AlphaDEX Fund (<a href="http://www.investorguide.com/stock.php?ticker=FSZ" class="ticker" target="_blank" rel="external nofollow">FSZ</a>) is the latest addition to the Swiss ETF line-up.</p>
<p>
	FSZ is a passively managed ETF designed to track the performance of the Defined Switzerland Index, an index&nbsp;consisting of the stocks selected on the basis of the&nbsp;AlphaDEX screening methodology.</p>
<p>
	The AlphaDEX methodology for selecting stocks uses both growth and value factors for determining the stocks to be included in the fund. In this way, investors get a blend of both growth and value stocks in one fund.</p>
<p>
	The methodology may sound interesting and could lead to outperformance, but this comes with a high&nbsp;cost of 80 basis points annually.</p>
<p>
	Unlike its iShares counterpart, the fund has not been that popular among investors as indicated by the trading volume of just 6,000 shares a day on average. Since its inception, the fund has been able to amass an asset base of $16.1 million.</p>
<p>
	The ETF seeks to invest its asset base across the market spectrum with a slight tilt towards smaller securities. Among mid caps and large caps, the fund appears to be equally spread out.</p>
<p>
	The fund appears to be moderately concentrated in the top 10 holdings in which it allocates 40% of the asset base.</p>
<p>
	In terms of sector allocation, financials dominates the holding pattern with double-digit allocation of 33.32%. Industrials, materials and consumer discretionary also get double-digit allocation in the fund. (<a href="http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/90263/two-sector-etfs-to-buy-in-2013">Two Sector ETFs to Buy in 2013</a>).</p>
<p>
	<img alt="" src="http://staticzacks.net/images/zacks/blogs/1369253813_scaled_425.jpg" /></p>
<p>
	Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download <em>7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days</em>. <a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp/?ALERT=RPT_7BST_LP194&amp;ADID=ZACKS_PFP_7BEST_ETF">Click to get this free report &gt;&gt;</a></p>
<p>&nbsp;<br /><a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp/?ALERT=ETF225&amp;adid=MONMORN_CONTENT_ETF&amp;d_alert=rd_final_rank&amp;t=EWL&amp;split=1">ISHARS-SWITZERL (<a href="http://www.investorguide.com/stock.php?ticker=EWL" class="ticker" target="_blank">EWL</a>): ETF Research Reports</a><br />&nbsp;<br /><a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp/?ALERT=ETF225&amp;adid=MONMORN_CONTENT_ETF&amp;d_alert=rd_final_rank&amp;t=FSZ&amp;split=1">FT-SWITZERLAND (<a href="http://www.investorguide.com/stock.php?ticker=FSZ" class="ticker" target="_blank" rel="external nofollow">FSZ</a>): ETF Research Reports</a><br />&nbsp;<br /><a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp/?ALERT=ETF225&amp;adid=MONMORN_CONTENT_ETF&amp;d_alert=rd_final_rank&amp;t=FXF&amp;split=1">CRYSHS-SWISS FR (<a href="http://www.investorguide.com/stock.php?ticker=FXF" class="ticker" target="_blank">FXF</a>): ETF Research Reports</a><br />&nbsp;<br /><a href="http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/99971/switzerland-etfs-in-focus-on-china-fta-deal">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a><br />&nbsp;<br /><a href="http://www.zacks.com/">Zacks Investment Research</a><br />&nbsp;<br /><a href="http://www.zacks.com/registration/pfp/?ALERT=RPT_7BST_LP194&amp;ADID=ZACKS_PFP_7BEST_ETF">Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report</a></p>
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		<title>How Ben Bernanke Is Destroying Your Retirement</title>
		<link>http://feeds.moneymorning.com/~r/moneymorning/jOLe/~3/pVx8AfcGnFw/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/23/how-ben-bernanke-is-destroying-your-retirement/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 09:00:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Hutchinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Retirement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal government retirement plan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government 457 retirement plan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government jobs retirement plan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government seizing 401k]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government sponsored retirement plans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government take over 401k]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[government takeover of 401k plans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[obama 401k takeover snopes]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Uncle  Sam has an unfunded pension liability of $800 billion. <br /><br />
  Corporate  pension funds have an unfunded liability around $400 billion.<br /><br />
  State  and local pension funds have an unfunded liability in the tony neighborhood of  $3 trillion.<br /><br />
  That's  over $4 TRILLION in UNFUNDED pension funds. <br /><br />
  And  if you're not lucky enough to be in a "defined benefit" pension plan  (which fewer and fewer people are these days) there's undoubtedly an  "unfunded liability" in your own savings - in other words, you  haven't saved enough to retire. <br /><br />
  It's  a huge problem and it's getting worse. And there's one individual to blame for  all that $4.2-plus trillion of money we need to find - Ben Bernanke. <br /><br />

<p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/23/how-ben-bernanke-is-destroying-your-retirement/">To continue reading, please click here…</a></em></strong></p>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content">Uncle  Sam has an unfunded pension liability of $800 billion. <br /><br />
  Corporate  pension funds have an unfunded liability around $400 billion.<br /><br />
  State  and local pension funds have an unfunded liability in the tony neighborhood of  $3 trillion.<br /><br />
  That's  over $4 TRILLION in UNFUNDED pension funds. <br /><br />
  And  if you're not lucky enough to be in a "defined benefit" pension plan  (which fewer and fewer people are these days) there's undoubtedly an  "unfunded liability" in your own savings - in other words, you  haven't saved enough to retire. <br /><br />
  It's  a huge problem and it's getting worse. And there's one individual to blame for  all that $4.2-plus trillion of money we need to find - Ben Bernanke. <br /><br />
  <h3>The  Killer of Nest Eggs</h3>
  Bernankeism  exerts a double whammy on pension funds, because of the accounting. <br /><br />
  To  determine the cost of all the pensions that must be paid, the actuary makes  assumptions about people's lifespans (another problem - they're lengthening),  gets a future stream of cash flows, then discounts the cash flows back to the  present at an assumed rate, based on what he thinks the fund can earn on its  money. <br /><br />
  If  the discounted amount is less than the current value of the fund, the fund has  a surplus; if it's more, the fund has a deficit.<br /><br />
  Still  awake?<br /><br />
  Here's  the kicker: When interest rates are held at very low levels year after year,  they make it more difficult for pension funds to achieve their desired returns,  and they move the goalposts farther and farther away from the ball. <br /><br />
  Unlike  the Peanuts strip where Lucy removes the football just as Charlie Brown is  about to kick it, in this case the Bernanke Fed playing Lucy lets Charlie Brown  (us) kick it but moves the goalposts into the far distance, so that Charlie has  no chance of reaching them however hard he kicks.<br /><br /></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><h3>Look  Back to Look Ahead</h3>
  In  the 1990s, even though interest rates were too low from 1995 on, all was well  with pension funds. The U.S. stock market zoomed upwards, so many funds' value  soared far above their actuarial liabilities. <br /><br />
  Many  companies stopped contributing to their funds, and <strong>General Electric</strong> (NYSE: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGE&amp;ei=2BGdUbCuFcTs0gHHWQ">GE</a>)  even found a way to make profits on its pension funds goose the company's  reported profits - thus siphoning more bonuses and stock option gains into  management's pockets.<br /><br />
  After  2000, the profits went into reverse. Pension funds then responded foolishly;  they transferred a huge percentage of their money into "alternative  investments" such as farmland, forests, private equity funds and hedge  funds. <br /><br />
  Essentially,  they bought a lot of assets at inflated prices - like, well, anything to do  with real estate in 2004-07 - and paid inflated fees for mediocre performance. <br /><br />
  However,  apart from the losses from the market crashes of 2000 and 2008, the real  problems for pension funds came from the steady decline in interest rates  engineered by Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke. <br /><br />
  For  example, even though stock prices are at record levels, and the asset sides of  the pension funds ought to be doing fine, Bernanke's low interest rates have  swelled the liabilities sides to enormous heights, so pension funds' funding  deficit is at levels more typical of the bottom of bear markets than several  years into a recovery.<br /><br />
  What's  more, the problem won't go away when interest rates rise again. That will make  stock and bond prices decline, reducing the asset side of the funds' balance  sheets. It will also push leveraged hedge funds and private equity funds into  bankruptcy, wreaking further havoc. <br /><br />
  <h3>No  One Is Exempt</h3>
  The  problem of pension funds also extends to baby boomers' own retirement savings.  You see, what may look good on your statements isn't usually put through the  same actuarial calculations that pension funds build. <br /><br />
  That  means what looks like a fairly decent pile of money when looked at in cash,  translates into an absolutely pathetic annual sum if you try to turn it into an  annuity (because annuity calculations are based on the same arithmetic as  pension fund accounting). <br /><br />
  The  fact is, most retiring baby boomers keep their IRAs and 401(k)s in cash,  withdrawing the amounts of money they need to live on. <br /><br />
  What  needs to shouted from the rooftops is, more likely than not, the withdrawals  they make are too large, and will exhaust the available funds long before the  unfortunate owners expire. <br /><br />
  Baby  boom retirements are destined to be thoroughly miserable, mostly thanks to  Bernanke; those with funded pension plans will find their plans in bankruptcy,  while those without pensions - the IRA and 401(k) majority - will simply find  the bankruptcy transferred to their own finances. <br /><br />
  The  solutions are simple, but not easy: save every penny you can, pray QE ends  quickly and just in case, work till you drop. <br /><br />
  In all seriousness, to the  extent you invest, buy into emerging markets with good growth rates and no Ben Bernanke.  They may have risks, but at least they avoid the Bernanke risk you have to live  with in the rest of your life.<br /><br />
<strong><u>Related Story  Links:</u></strong><br /><br />
<ul type="disc">
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong> <br />
    <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/25/why-hedge-funds-are-a-lousy-investment/" title="Why Hedge Funds Are a Lousy Investment">Why Hedge Funds Are a Lousy       Investment</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong><br />
    <a  href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/01/28/heres-the-surprising-winner-of-the-currency-wars/" target="_blank" title="Here's the Surprising Winner of the Currency Wars">Here's       the Surprising Winner of the Currency Wars</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong><br />
    <a  href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/02/28/the-eurozone-hangs-on-by-a-whisker/" target="_blank" title="The Eurozone Hangs On By a Whisker">The Eurozone       Hangs On By a Whisker</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong> <br />
    <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/10/my-two-favorite-gold-mining-stocks/" title="My Two Favorite Gold Mining Stocks">My Two Favorite Gold Mining       Stocks</a></li>
</ul>
</div>
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		<title>Best Investments 2013: Finding Opportunity Far and Near</title>
		<link>http://feeds.moneymorning.com/~r/moneymorning/jOLe/~3/V00OcfxdVNc/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/23/best-investments-2013-finding-opportunity-far-and-near/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 09:00:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guest Editorial</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[best investments 2013]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[best investments for 2013]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[best investments now]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[best profit opportunities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[best real estate investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[best short term investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[best stock investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[on]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Samuel Johnson once said, "The use  of traveling is to regulate imagination by reality, and instead of thinking how  things may be, to see them as they are." </p>
<p>Although penned by an 18th century  English writer, the idea holds true in today's highly connected world of search  bars, tweets and breaking news. Our portfolio managers' research trips to  foreign countries authenticates the data from a <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> terminal or an  earnings report. Treks add tacit knowledge to our wealth of explicit facts.</p>
<p>Last week, I was in Peru and  Colombia with former president Bill Clinton and Frank Giustra  in conjunction with the Clinton Giustra Enterprise  Partnership. </p>
<p>I've been involved with this  impressive organization since its inception. I love how it brings together  private companies, government and communities in developing regions of the  world to eradicate poverty by growing jobs and training local workers.</p>

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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>Samuel Johnson once said, "The use  of traveling is to regulate imagination by reality, and instead of thinking how  things may be, to see them as they are." </p>
<p>Although penned by an 18th century  English writer, the idea holds true in today's highly connected world of search  bars, tweets and breaking news. Our portfolio managers' research trips to  foreign countries authenticates the data from a <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> terminal or an  earnings report. Treks add tacit knowledge to our wealth of explicit facts.</p>
<p>Last week, I was in Peru and  Colombia with former president Bill Clinton and Frank Giustra  in conjunction with the Clinton Giustra Enterprise  Partnership. </p>
<p>I've been involved with this  impressive organization since its inception. I love how it brings together  private companies, government and communities in developing regions of the  world to eradicate poverty by growing jobs and training local workers.</p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>As part of the trip, Clinton signed  an agreement between the foundation and Peru's Ministry of Foreign Trade and  Tourism to promote and reward hotels and restaurants that buy from local  producers.</p>
<p>Each group will give $450,000 over  the next three years to train local producers to become suppliers for Cusco's  hospitality and restaurant sector. All told, suppliers should bring in more  than $5 million in income over the next five years and benefit more than 1,800  people, according to the Clinton Foundation.</p>
<p>In Cartagena, Colombia, Clinton and  Giustra celebrated the opening of a warehouse that  will provide a local supply chain for the area's hospitality, restaurant,  catering, and supermarket sectors, as well as the Acceso  Training Center, which will train about 20,000 local residents over the next 10  years to work in the hospitality sector.</p>
<p>Moving beyond Latin America, other  U.S. Global portfolio managers are finding exciting opportunities on their  travels. When Michael Ding recently traveled to Thailand, he immediately <a target="_blank" href="http://www.usfunds.com/investor-resources/videos/arriving-upon-an-opportunity-in-thailand/#.UZp_A2eJlI4"  rel="external nofollow">identified a potential investment</a> as soon as the plane  touched down in Bangkok. </p>
<p>And with emerging Europe growing  faster than its western counterparts, Director of Research John Derrick, and  Portfolio Manager Tim Steinle are headed to Warsaw and Prague to visit with  local companies and management. We are optimistic about many expanding opportunities in this area of  the world.</p>
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<p>Back in the U.S., no one needs to  travel far to see the tremendous growth in domestic stock prices. Over the last  four years, the S&amp;P 500 Index climbed 21% annually.<br />
  But how much further should you  expect them to go? The Federal Reserve Bank of New York had the same thought  and delved deep into data to find out.</p>
<p><strong>Would it surprise you to  learn that a vast majority of equity valuation models state that stocks should  head much higher over the next five years?</strong></p>
<p>This is research based on 29  different equity valuation models and surveys that use varying economic and  market-related data such as dividends or inflation to calculate potential  future returns. Using a weighted average, the New York Fed estimated the equity  risk premium over the following month.</p>
<p>Simply stated, the equity risk  premium is the expected future return of stocks minus the risk-free rate, such  as a Treasury bill. For example, if the estimated future return of stocks is 5  percent and a Treasury bond yields 4% , the premium is the difference between  the two figures, or 1%.</p>
<p>Looking back over five decades of  annualized results, there's always some premium for stocks. This intuitively  makes sense, because in exchange for taking higher risk, investors expect to  receive higher returns.</p>
<p><u><img border="0" width="575"  src="file:///C|/Users/tbreschi/AppData/Roaming/Adobe/Dreamweaver CS5.5/en_US/OfficeImageTemp/image001.gif"><br />
</u>During these 50 years, the premium nearly fell to zero two times.  One time was in 1987, when investors' exuberance toward the equity market  caused stocks to rise quite sharply.</p>
<p>The most recent dip in the equity  risk premium was at the height of the great tech boom in 2000. Many investors  remember triple-digit price-to-earnings multiples. And some companies saw  terrific price appreciation even though there were no reported earnings to be  had at all. You'll remember Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan coining the phrase, "Irrational  Exuberance."</p>
<p>Looking at the chart above, today  we see an opposite picture. In fact, today's equity premium is at 5.4%, as high  as it was in November 1974 and January 2009.</p>
<p>And what happened in these two time  frames? Well, we saw the dramatic increase in equity prices from 2009 to today.</p>
<p>Back in the 1970s, investors  experienced the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and "a terrible case of  stagflation," says the Fed of New York. However, that didn't stop the stock  market, as gains were incredible, increasing nearly 15% on an annualized basis  from 1974 to 1979.</p>
<p>The chart illustrates a tremendous  case for U.S. stocks over the next five years. Make sure your portfolio is  poised to participate.</p>
<p><strong><u>[Editor's  Note</u></strong><strong>: </strong>Frank Holmes is CEO and chief  investment officer of U.S. Global Investors Inc., which manages a diversified  family of mutual funds and hedge funds specializing in natural resources, <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/emerging-markets" >emerging  markets</a> and infrastructure. He has been profiled by <strong><em>Fortune</em></strong>, <strong><em>Barron's</em></strong>, <strong><em>The Financial Times</em></strong> and other publications. If you want  commentary and analysis from Holmes and the rest of the U.S. Global Investors  team delivered to your inbox every Friday, sign up to receive the weekly <a target="_blank" href="http://www.usfunds.com/investor-resources/investor-alert/?CFID=967406&amp;CFTOKEN=24025647"  rel="external nofollow">Investor Alert</a> at <a target="_blank" href="http://www.usfunds.com/"  rel="external nofollow">www.usfunds.com</a>.<strong>]</strong></p>
<p><strong><u>Related  Articles:</u></strong></p>
<ul type="disc">
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/03/28/in-gold-not-cyprus-we-trust/" title="In Gold, Not Cyprus, We Trust">In Gold, Not Cyprus, We Trust</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a  href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/01/25/four-sensational-facts-about-gold-investing-that-you-might-not-know/" target="_blank" title="Four Sensational Facts About Gold Investing That You Might Not Know">Four       Sensational Facts About Gold Investing That You Might Not Know</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/05/24/good-news-for-gold-prices-commodities-are-wounded-but-far-from-dead/" >Commodities are Wounded, But Far From Dead</a><strong> </strong></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a  href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/11/28/the-ultimate-gift-for-your-gold-lover-and-5-other-amazing-consumer-trends/" target="_blank" title="The Ultimate Gift for Your Gold Lover and 5 Other Amazing Consumer Trends">The       Ultimate Gift for Your Gold Lover and 5 Other Amazing Consumer Trends</a></li>
</ul>

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		<title>Is the United States the Next Argentina?</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 May 2013 09:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guest Editorial</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Argentina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[argentina current economy]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Drive the streets of Buenos  Aires, and you will see regal architecture that rivals wealthy European enclaves  in Monaco or London. </p>
<p>And along tree-lined  walkways, you will witness monuments that speak of the legacy of Argentina's  finest moments.</p>
<p>But all of it is just a façade-a  reminder of what used to be. </p>
<p>Despite having one of the  most educated and entrepreneurial populations in the world, an abundance of  natural resources, and a dynamic agricultural sector, Argentina has been in steep  decline now for eighty years. </p>
<p>And things are only getting  worse.</p>
<p>Without a doubt there's a  lesson here-- even though I recognize U.S. businesses have it comparatively  easy when it comes to government mismanagement.</p>
<p>Even still, after spending  the week immersed in Argentina's business culture, it's hard to argue the U.S.  isn't on the same unsustainable path. </p>
<p>With the U.S. debt and  obligations reaching new heights, new arbitrary regulations making it  increasingly harder to conduct business, and examples of ruthless big  government gone array in the AP and IRS targeting scandals, the parallels are  too great to ignore. </p>
<p>This is far different from  the recent comparisons to Greece--and actually much worse. </p>
<p>The truth is the United  States is in danger of becoming the next Argentina. </p>
<p>Here's why: It's about business,  always business.</p>

<p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/23/is-the-united-states-the-next-argentina/">To continue reading, please click here…</a></em></strong></p>

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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>Drive the streets of Buenos  Aires, and you will see regal architecture that rivals wealthy European enclaves  in Monaco or London. </p>
<p>And along tree-lined  walkways, you will witness monuments that speak of the legacy of Argentina's  finest moments.</p>
<p>But all of it is just a façade-a  reminder of what used to be. </p>
<p>Despite having one of the  most educated and entrepreneurial populations in the world, an abundance of  natural resources, and a dynamic agricultural sector, Argentina has been in steep  decline now for eighty years. </p>
<p>And things are only getting  worse.</p>
<p>Without a doubt there's a  lesson here-- even though I recognize U.S. businesses have it comparatively  easy when it comes to government mismanagement.</p>
<p>Even still, after spending  the week immersed in Argentina's business culture, it's hard to argue the U.S.  isn't on the same unsustainable path. </p>
<p>With the U.S. debt and  obligations reaching new heights, new arbitrary regulations making it  increasingly harder to conduct business, and examples of ruthless big  government gone array in the AP and IRS targeting scandals, the parallels are  too great to ignore. </p>
<p>This is far different from  the recent comparisons to Greece--and actually much worse. </p>
<p>The truth is the United  States is in danger of becoming the next Argentina. </p>
<p>Here's why: It's about business,  always business.</p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><h3>The  Cornerstone of Every Nation</h3>
<p>A nation's success and the strength  of its middle class rests on the ability of its people to have the freedom to  conduct trade and business. It also relies on a political structure that  ensures long-term sustainability. </p>
<p>From my trip there, I can  tell you the business and political climate in Argentina is utterly dismal. </p>
<p>For a week, I drove through  the heart of Mendoza wine country, dined with Board of Trade members who ship  their grains, and circled through the public markets along the Buenos Aires  parks. <br />
  Given the nation's beauty  and reputation as a global destination, you wouldn't know it unless you sat  down and spoke with individual business people. After hundreds of conversations, not one  person I spoke to championed the Argentine government's positions on improving  the business climate. </p>
<p>This is what happens when solutions  to problems created by government action is always to add more government  regulation or to centralize power. </p>
<p>It is also what happens  when the populist government has focused exclusively on a social justice  platform that emphasizes benefits to the 40% of its citizens who live in  poverty. </p>
<p>In fact, on three  occasions, I was told that advocates of President Cristina Fernández would  offer a pair of shoes to voters in the slums. Voters would receive one shoe  before the vote, and the other when they returned and showed their ballot. </p>
<p>When you hear these  stories, you realize that elections are not so much about fixing problems as they  are about the ascension to power that politicians seek.</p>
<p>Argentina's core problems  stem from a financial crisis in 2002, where the country effectively defaulted  on its sovereign debts. Widespread panic, rioting, a devaluation of the peso  against the U.S. has led to a staggering erosion of wealth across the nation. Unemployment  had soared to 25%, and 60% of the country fell below the poverty level. Horrific  tales of scavenging and bartering became the norm. </p>
<p>But 10 years later, the  business climate still remains stagnate in the face of trying to keep food and  product costs down and things "more fair.&rdquo; </p>
<p>Overregulation, steep  export taxes, and import bans have led to a stifling effect. Policy decisions  have made it impossible to conduct business, have facilitated the destruction  of its middle class, led to rampant black markets, and incentivize the  offshoring of capital by the wealthiest members of society. </p>
<p>And while the  entrepreneurial spirit of Argentina is very alive and well, the government has  done everything it can to tie one arm behind business leaders' backs, while  chopping the other off at the elbow. </p>
<p>For example, take the  flight we took from Mendoza to Buenos Aires. </p>
<p>Our regional flight was on  LAN, a Chilean carrier and competitor to the government-owned Aerolíneas  Argentinas. Our midday flight was delayed by a half-hour, but not because of  the rainclouds circling above Buenos Aires. It was well known by my co-passengers  that the Argentine government has ordered its flight towers to delay rival  airlines flights in order to raise Aerolineas' on-time arrival score in  comparison to companies like LAN. </p>
<p>Not only was that delay  induced to enrage customers, but we also faced another 30-minute delay with our  baggage, which was strange considering that all of the bags were off of our  plane before we were (for some reason it took an extra 20 minutes to get access  to a staircase to deplane).</p>
<p>So it shouldn't surprise  anyone that LAN pulled out of the Argentine market this week. This will only  drive price increases and provide fewer options for travelers. It will also do  little to improve the on-time arrival scores of a poorly run state enterprise. </p>
<p>Why should any of this  concern Americans?...</p>
<p>Here' s one of the  connections: During the 2009 healthcare  debate, we heard quite a bit from the Left about how the U.S. needed a  public-option to compete against private healthcare companies.</p>
<p>But the reality is that  private companies can never compete with politically advantaged, crony  companies or options that have no true interest in market competition. A public  option would make it virtually impossible for the private market to function  properly. </p>
<p>And over time, you will  witness a downward trend where private firms go out of business, and the  politically advantaged companies rise but ultimately begin to fail overtime due  to a lack of competition and market accountability. </p>
<p>The United States already  operates the V.A. healthcare system with a pathetic track-record (as repeatedly  noted by Jon Stewart and the Daily Show). We also see the U.S. Post Office, the  de facto version of a shipping public option. Just think about how it bleeds  cash, can't break union influence, and fails to provide quality or value in its  services. </p>
<p>Meanwhile, private  companies UPS and FedEx operate efficiently, despite persistent regulations to  protect the U.S. Postal Service. And these aren't the only parallels </p>

<h3>A  Myriad of Problems </h3>
<p>In fact, Argentina's  state-run airline was just the first of many logistical problems that I  witnessed.</p>
<p>The biggest problem that I  saw facing Argentinean businesses in agricultural production was the lack of a  railway system. Argentina does not just lack proper rail infrastructure to ship  goods from remote farming regions to its ports. It pretty much does not have  any access to ship goods from anywhere by any other method but trucks. </p>
<p>This is because the trucking  union has such an influence on the Argentine government, that they have  effectively blocked any future train infrastructure. Instead of shipping goods  in a more cost-effective manner, trucks dominate the logistical network, which  is more costly, less environmentally sound, and leads to serious bottlenecks in  logistical operations. </p>
<p>Cronyism has stifled market  opportunities to improve its logistical network, which will only lead to  long-term shortfalls as the agro-sector attempts to compete with its  neighboring rival in Brazil that is solving its infrastructure problems as I  write this.</p>
<p>Argentina is also crippled  by its own trade policies. The nation has extremely high business taxes,  including a massive VAT and export tax on raw commodities. </p>
<p>In an effort to keep food  costs down across the country, the nation has made it financially unfavorable  to export grains by producers. As a result, investments into the agricultural  sector remains stagnate. </p>
<p>And, again, while the  country is doing its best to suppress rising food costs, the nation is about to  find itself uncompetitive as neighbor Brazil creates a more favorable  environment to international investment, infrastructure development, and more  liquid financial markets.</p>
<p>But it's the last problem facing  the Argentinean economy that is the most troubling.</p>
<p>And we'll cover that  portion tomorrow in Part Two of this examination into the Argentine Crisis and  how to profit from two successful global investment strategies.</p>
<p><strong><u>Related Articles and News: </u></strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Money Morning:</strong> <br /> <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/03/frack-or-fail-is-it-time-for-californias-liberals-to-go/" title="Frack or Fail: Is It Time For California's Liberals to Go?"><strong>Frack or Fail: Is It  Time For California's Liberals to Go?</strong></a> </li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong> <br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/17/jim-rogers-prediction-on-gold-prices-was-only-half-of-the-story/" title="Jim Rogers' Prediction on Gold Prices Was Only Half of the Story"><strong>Jim  Rogers' Prediction on Gold Prices Was Only Half of the Story</strong></a></li>
  </ul></div>
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		<title>U.S. GDP: America is About to Look Richer – But Don't Be Fooled</title>
		<link>http://feeds.moneymorning.com/~r/moneymorning/jOLe/~3/ISaxNWSQMO4/</link>
		<comments>http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/22/u-s-gdp-america-is-about-to-look-richer-but-dont-be-fooled/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 21:21:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Gary Gately</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[U.S. GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDP report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US GDP]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[  </strong>America's about to become more wealthy - on paper, at least.</p>
<p>That's because the way the country's gross domestic product,  or U.S. <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/u-s-gdp/" />GDP</a>, is measured  will change significantly come July 31, enough to boost the closely watched  economic barometer by 3%, or $400 billion. </p>
<p>That translates to the equivalent of about $1,500 more worth  of goods and services per person in the United States.</p>
<p>The U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis  claims the changes will allow for more consistent comparisons with data for  the economies of other nations. </p>
<p>What the revised U.S. GDP, which will apply retroactively to  1929, will <em>really</em> do is make the  country look healthier than it actually is.</p>
<p>What it speaks to in my mind is the oldest of all games:  It's administrative whitewash, <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> Chief Investment  Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald said. If reality doesn't fit your statistics, you  adjust your statistics and say, 'Let's make everybody feel good about what  we're doing by readjusting the calculations.'</p>

<p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/22/u-s-gdp-america-is-about-to-look-richer-but-dont-be-fooled">To continue reading, please click here…</a></em></strong></p>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content">  </strong><p>America's about to become more wealthy - on paper, at least.</p>
<p>That's because the way the country's gross domestic product,  or U.S. <a target=_blank href=http://moneymorning.com/tag/u-s-gdp/>GDP</a>, is measured  will change significantly come July 31, enough to boost the closely watched  economic barometer by 3%, or $400 billion. </p>
<p>That translates to the equivalent of about $1,500 more worth  of goods and services per person in the United States.</p>
<p>The U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis  claims the changes will allow for more consistent comparisons with data for  the economies of other nations. </p>
<p>What the revised U.S. GDP, which will apply retroactively to  1929, will <em>really</em> do is make the  country look healthier than it actually is.</p>
<p>"What it speaks to in my mind is the oldest of all games:  It's administrative whitewash," <strong><em>Money Morning</em></strong> Chief Investment  Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald said. "If reality doesn't fit your statistics, you  adjust your statistics and say, 'Let's make everybody feel good about what  we're doing by readjusting the calculations.'"</p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><h3>U.S. GDP Change: More  Government Manipulation</h3>
<p>Three changes in the way the BEA calculates GDP will account  for most of the difference: research and  development will be counted as a capital investment instead of as a cost of  making goods; investment in artistic originals like books, TV shows and  movies will be counted as fixed investments; money that pension plans promise  to pay retirees will be counted as wages. </p>
<p>Fitz-Gerald said to think of it this way: What if a publicly  traded company were to restate its earnings - dating to 1929?</p>
<p>"The stuff hits the fan when they restate their earnings,"  he said. "That's what the government's doing here. This is the federal  government restating its earnings. They're going back effectively on the  public's P&amp;L and saying, 'Well, you know, those statistics didn't really  fit and we're restating our P&amp;L and, oh, by the way, we're doing it back to  1929.'" </p>
<p>Economic expert Peter Schiff says such manipulation of  statistics is typical of the U.S. government. The U.S. government has over the  years repeatedly manipulated statistics for <a target=_blank href="https://moneymorning.com/tag/unemployment/">unemployment</a> and <a target=_blank href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/inflation/">inflation</a>.</p>
<p>"That's what the government does," Schiff said on his radio  show. "Now it doesn't mean that the economy is actually any bigger, but it  means they can pretend it's bigger."</p>
<p>Consider the effect on the national debt, Schiff says: If  the GDP's bigger, the national debt appears smaller in comparison and thus less  of the money generated by the economy seems to go toward paying interest on the  debt.</p>
<p>Fitz-Gerald noted the broad measure of economic growth is  also used by ratings agencies to measure a country's economic health. </p>
<p>And Fitz-Gerald said a higher GDP will do little to help  consumers who continually face higher costs.</p>
<p>The BEA based its decision to revise the way the GDP's  calculated on an international agreement put together by organizations  including the United Nations, the International Monetary Fund and the  Organization for Cooperation and Development. <br />
  <br />
  The United States will be among the first to change its GDP based on the  agreement. </p>
<p><strong><u>Related Articles:</u></strong></p>
<ul>
  <li><strong>Money  Morning: </strong><br /><a target=_blank href="http://moneymorning.com/2011/08/23/gdp-lie-time-for-new-measure-of-economic-growth">GDP  Is a Lie - It's Time for a New Measure of Economic Growth</a></li>
  <li><strong>Financial  Times</strong>: <br /><a target=_blank href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/52d23fa6-aa98-11e2-bc0d-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2U1rRR1tq" rel="external nofollow">Data  shift to lift US economy 3%</a></li>
  <li><strong>Financial  Times: </strong><br /><a target=_blank href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/63bbbd22-aa95-11e2-bc0d-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2U1rRR1tq" rel="external nofollow">US  economy gets a Hollywood makeover</a></li>
  <li><strong>The Daily  Caller:</strong> <br /><a target=_blank href="http://dailycaller.com/2013/04/30/changes-in-gdp-measurement-create-growth-out-of-thin-air" rel="external nofollow">Changes  in GDP measurement create growth out of thin air</a></li>
  <li><strong>Bureau  of Economic Analysis:</strong><br /><a target=_blank href="http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&amp;rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=1&amp;ved=0CDEQFjAA&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bea.gov%2Fscb%2Fpdf%2F2013%2F03%2520March%2F0313_nipa_comprehensive_revision_preview.pdf&amp;ei=S82cUaP7D6TD4AOz3ICIBQ&amp;usg=AFQjCNGZ93YwCEHCuzgbmUi9EvUa-ZDAmg&amp;sig2=7u8HYcCWixjt6Rn-EnZnmQ&amp;bvm=bv.46751780,d.dmg">Preview  of the 2013 Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts</a></li>
  <li><strong>Slate:</strong><br /> <a target=_blank href="http://www.slate.com/articles/business/moneybox/2013/04/nipa_revisions_bea_will_treat_intangibles_as_capital_goods_and_boost_gdp.html" rel="external nofollow">America  Is Exactly 3 Percent Richer Than We Thought</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>High Taxes Mean It's Lights Out For California</title>
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		<comments>http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/22/high-taxes-mean-its-lights-out-for-california/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 21:13:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Guest Editorial</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Would the last person leaving California please  turn out the lights... <br />
  <br />
  Whether by coincidence or design there is a mass  exodus of business and upper management from the golden state. </p>
<p>Here's a guess why: California is the highest taxed  state in the nation.</p>
<p>Its top income tax rate is 13.3%, and its property  tax per capita is $1,450. California also has the highest sales tax at 7.5% and  is the proud bearer of the country's highest gas tax according to the Petroleum  Institute.</p>
<p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/22/high-taxes-mean-its-lights-out-for-california/">To continue reading, please click here...</a></em></strong></p>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>Would the last person leaving California please  turn out the lights... <br />
  <br />
  Whether by coincidence or design there is a mass  exodus of business and upper management from the golden state. </p>
<p>Here's a guess why: California is the highest taxed  state in the nation.</p>
<p>Its top income tax rate is 13.3%, and its property  tax per capita is $1,450. California also has the highest sales tax at 7.5% and  is the proud bearer of the country's highest gas tax according to the Petroleum  Institute.</p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>According to <strong><em>The</em></strong> <strong><em>New York </em></strong><strong><em>Times</em></strong> columnist Paul Krugman that's a winning formula.  </p>
  <p>The liberal-leaning economist recently wrote, "California  is on the road to recovery due to tax and spend liberals, Republicans and  conservatives are the problem, tax and spend is the way to go."</p>
  <p>Yet, since the beginning  of 2013 a total of 158 companies have left the golden state and more are lining  up to make their own great escape.   That's up from just 51 in in 2009. </p>
  <p>If this trend continues Silicon Valley may soon become  nothing more than the northern extension of Death Valley as search for more profits creates a mass migration states like Oregon,  Texas, Nevada, Utah and Arizona. </p>
<p>With considerably lower taxes, these states are  welcoming California businesses with welcome arms. </p>
<p>One of them is Intel which recently  announced that it will be investing billions to upgrade factories in Arizona,  in addition to building a new factory in Oregon. </p>
<p>This move will create between 6,000 and 8,000  construction jobs and up to 1,000 high tech factory jobs outside the Golden  State. With an unemployment rate of 9.4% that's the thing California needs. But  the truth is each employee hired by Intel in these states will cost. 30% to 40%  less than the same employee would in California. </p>
<p>In fact, even the utility bills are welcoming  in Oregon. The savings in electricity alone is as much as 80% to 90% compared  to California. </p>
<p>Then there's California's polar opposite: Texas. </p>
<p>A "no tax state", Texas takes it a step further by  touting itself as the last bastion of freedom in this country.  To its credit, four million people have  migrated to Texas in the last 10 years.  </p>
<p>Admittedly, it is due to a multitude of reasons but  foremost is the economic opportunity Texas offers.</p>
<p>So how does California compare to Texas?  Here's the breakdown: </p>
<ul>
  <li>California has the 4th highest Cost  Of Living Index in the country. Texas has 2nd lowest.  </li>
  <li>Minimum wage is<strong> </strong>$8.00 in California. It's $7.25 in Texas.                                           </li>
  <li>Including taxes,<strong> </strong>$8.00 buys $6.05 in goods and services in California. In Texas the  same $8.00 buys $7.25                  </li>
  <li>Proportionately,  there are<strong> </strong>42% more poor people  in California than Texas.</li>
  <li>In  California it is hard to start business requiring 4 to 5 years to break ground  and start construction. In Texas it is 4 to 5 months.<strong> </strong></li>
  <li>The  gas tax is $0.49 a gallon in Cali. In Texas it's $0.20<strong> </strong></li>
  <li>Median  rent is $801 in Texas....$1,163 in California.<strong> </strong></li>
  <li>And  the median home price is $128,100 in Texas vs $370,000 in California.</li>
</ul>
<p>But those aren't the only reasons to like  Texas....</p>
<p>Here's another: One state is poster child for  big government while is representative of free enterprise.</p>
<p>Here's why.   Just take a look at how each state went about building a bullet train. </p>
<p>It's a tale of two states:  </p>
<p><strong><u>In Texas:</u></strong>  A bullet train was suggested and approved for  construction from Houston to Dallas, financed totally through private business.  Total cost for this venture is $10 billion with a completion date as scheduled.   No increase in fees, overages or  extensions are expected.  In this case, no  government funding is either anticipated or needed.</p>
<p><strong><u>In California:</u></strong>  The project is government funded. The original  cost for the link from Los Angeles to The Bay Area was estimated to cost $45  billion but is now projected to cost $68.4 billion. The Bullet train's original  220 mph speed has been cut to a more conventional speed due to the local  environment and the agency overseeing the project is $54 billion short for  completion of the project. An additional $38 billion is needed in federal tax dollars  over the next 15 years. At present, The rail agency can build the track from  Bakersfield to Merced since it has the $5.9 billion to complete this phase.  But after that funding is questionable at  best.</p>
<p>At the end of the day, it appears the result  could be, a high-speed bullet train that travels slowly on a lonely track thru  a modestly traveled Central Valley where it wasn't really needed at all, at a  potential completion cost of $68.4 billion dollars.</p>
<p>It is no secret, free enterprise is more  efficient than big government. </p>
<p>So with all of California's wonders and beauty  maybe it's time for the Golden State to heed the advice of the late great  Margret Thatcher.<br />
  As the iron lady once said,  <em>"The  problem with socialism is, after a while you run out of other people's money!"</em></p>
<p>Unless California comes to the same conclusion,  you can expect this exodus to continue.</p>
<p><strong><u>Related Articles</u></strong><strong>:</strong></p>
<ul type="disc">
  <li><strong>Money       Morning:  </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/30/the-sequester-debate-and-its-5-biggest-lies/" title="The Sequester Debate and Its 5 Biggest Lies">The Sequester Debate and Its 5 Biggest Lies</a><strong> </strong></li>
  <li><strong>Money       Morning:  </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/03/frack-or-fail-is-it-time-for-californias-liberals-to-go/" title="Frack or Fail: Is It Time For California's Liberals to Go?">Frack or Fail: Is It Time For California's       Liberals to Go?</a><strong> </strong></li>
  <li><strong>Money       Morning:  </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/16/is-your-next-great-investment-a-toothbrush-thats-been-to-the-moon/" title="Is Your Next Great Investment a Toothbrush That's Been to the Moon?">Is       Your Next Great Investment a Toothbrush That's Been to the Moon?</a></li>
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		<title>7 Reasons Not to Trust the Bernanke Testimony to Congress</title>
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		<comments>http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/22/7-reasons-not-to-trust-the-bernanke-testimony-to-congress/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 May 2013 18:54:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Zeiler</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>As usual, the markets were hanging on every word of the <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/bernanke-testimony">Bernanke testimony</a> to  Congress today (Wednesday).</p>
<p>By now, everyone should know better.</p>
<p>In the years that U.S. <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/federal-reserve/">Federal Reserve</a> Chairman Ben <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/bernanke/">Bernanke</a> has  been a member of the Fed - both as a member of the Board of Governors from 2002  to 2005, and in his two terms as chairman beginning in 2006 - he has been  stupendously wrong time and time again.</p>
<p>Bernanke gave the markets what they wanted by hinting that  his monetary easing policies won't change any time soon, pushing both the Dow  Jones Industrial Average and the Standard &#38; Poor's 500 Index up more than  0.5% in midday trading.</p>
<p><strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/22/7-reasons-not-to-trust-the-bernanke-testimony-to-congress/">To continue reading, please click here...</a></em></strong></p>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>As usual, the markets were hanging on every word of the <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/bernanke-testimony">Bernanke testimony</a> to  Congress today (Wednesday).</p>
<p>By now, everyone should know better.</p>
<p>In the years that U.S. <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/federal-reserve/">Federal Reserve</a> Chairman Ben <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/bernanke/">Bernanke</a> has  been a member of the Fed - both as a member of the Board of Governors from 2002  to 2005, and in his two terms as chairman beginning in 2006 - he has been  stupendously wrong time and time again.</p>
<p>Bernanke gave the markets what they wanted by hinting that  his monetary easing policies won't change any time soon, pushing both the Dow  Jones Industrial Average and the Standard &amp; Poor's 500 Index up more than  0.5% in midday trading.</p></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><p>But when members of Congress started asking the Fed chief  questions about whether those policies might be inflating bubbles in stocks and  other assets, we got Bernanke testimony like this:</p>
<p><em>"To this point  our sense is that major asset prices like stock prices and corporate bond  prices are not inconsistent with the fundamentals..... our sense is that those  issues [the threat of market bubbles] are still relatively modest."</em></p>
<p>That Bernanke would dismiss such serious concerns is no  surprise; he's done it many times before, and often with disastrous  consequences.</p>
<p>And yet, just as with <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/alan-greenspan/">Alan Greenspan</a> before  him, Bernanke's every public utterance has the power to move markets. Utterly  baffling.</p>
<h3>7 Examples That Show Why You Can't  Trust Any Bernanke Testimony </h3>
<p>Today's Bernanke testimony is only the latest example of how  poorly he seems to grasp the many complex forces that threaten the markets.</p>
<p>The following seven statements from <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/tag/fed-chairman-ben-bernanke/">Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke</a>'s  past show why no one should ever take anything he says seriously.</p>
<ul>
  <p><strong>1. "We've never had a decline in house prices on a nationwide       basis. So, what I think what is more likely is that house prices will       slow, maybe stabilize, might slow consumption spending a bit. I don't       think it's gonna drive the economy too far from its full employment path,       though." (July 2005)</strong><br />For the next two years, as the housing bubble continued  to inflate, Bernanke repeatedly dismissed signs that a crisis was brewing. </p>
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<ul>
  <p><strong>2. "With respect to their safety, derivatives, for the most       part, are traded among very sophisticated financial institutions and       individuals who have considerable incentive to understand them and to use       them properly." (November 2005)</strong><br />
Risky derivatives were the root  cause of the 2008 financial crisis. The entire country has suffered because of Chairman  Bernanke's lack of foresight on this issue.</p>
</ul>
<ul>
  <p><strong>3. "At this juncture, however, the impact on the       broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime       market seems likely to be contained. In particular, mortgages to prime borrowers and       fixed-rate mortgages to all classes of borrowers continue to perform well,       with low rates of delinquency." (March 2007)</strong><br />
Bernanke also failed to grasp the seriousness of  the subprime mortgage meltdown until it was too late. </p>
</ul>
<ul>
  <p><strong>4. "They will make it through the       storm." (January 2008)</strong><br />
Bernanke was referring to Fannie Mae and Freddie  Mac, the government-sponsored mortgage companies that collapsed just two months  later. The ensuing bailout cost American taxpayers $170 billion.</p>
</ul>
<ul>
  <p><strong>5. "Although low inflation is generally       good, inflation that is too low can pose risks to the economy - especially       when the economy is struggling." (November 2010)</strong><br />
Bernanke, like all fans of Keynesian economics,  likes to see higher inflation because he believes it helps spur economic  activity. That's why he continues to pursue inflationary monetary policies. But  most ordinary people dislike rising prices. </p>
</ul>
<ul>
  <p><strong>6. "One myth that's out there is that what       we're doing is printing money. We're not printing money." (December       2010)</strong><br />
Bernanke may not literally be  printing up greenbacks, but its massive bond-buying program known as  quantitative easing has created more than $2 trillion out of thin air. Why do  you think the stock markets are at record highs? </p>
</ul>
<ul>
  <p><strong>7. [When asked what he thought of the U.S. dollar losing status as       world's reserve currency:] "I don't see any sign that that's happening.       The amount of reserves held in dollars is actually growing, not shrinking.       I think that reserve currency status at least for the foreseeable future       is very much intact." (February 2013)</strong><br />
True, the dollar is not in imminent  danger of losing its status as the world's reserve currency. But there are <em>plenty</em> of signs that the <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/03/11/why-your-financial-future-will-be-built-upon-the-chinese-yuan/">Chinese  yuan's growing importance is threatening that status</a>. For example, from January 2012-January 2013, global transactions  in yuan grew 171% in value. And HSBC predicts that half of all trade  with emerging markets will be settled in yuan by 2015 - the same year the yuan  will become a fully convertible currency in London. </p>
</ul>
<p><strong>Bonus</strong>: "<strong>I wish I'd been omniscient and seen the  crisis coming." (December 2010)</strong><br />
  Bernanke didn't need to be omniscient; he just needed to pay  closer attention to what was happening right in front of his eyes.</p>
<p><strong>If you think the  Bernanke testimony is full of good info, you need to check out </strong><strong><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/05/08/5-things-the-federal-reserve-hopes-youll-never-find-out/" title="5 Things the Federal Reserve Hopes You'll Never Find Out">5 Things the  Federal Reserve Hopes You'll Never Find Out</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><u>Related Articles</u></strong>:</p>
<ul type="disc">
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/03/28/why-we-cant-avoid-ben-bernankes-monetary-cliff/" title="Why We Can't Avoid Ben Bernanke's 'Monetary Cliff'">Why       We Can't Avoid Ben Bernanke's "Monetary Cliff"</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2013/02/11/the-bernanke-shock/" title="The Bernanke Shock">The Bernanke Shock</a></li>
  <li><strong>The Economic Collapse Blog: </strong><br /><a target="_blank" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/say-what-30-ben-bernanke-quotes-that-are-so-stupid-that-you-wont-know-whether-to-laugh-or-cry" rel="external nofollow">Say       What? 30 Ben Bernanke Quotes That Are So Stupid That You Won't Know       Whether To Laugh Or Cry</a></li>
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